Forecasting · Models and methods
New weather and climate research on forecasting with models and methods as the main approach, one page per paper.
All summaries
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ForecastingNudging a physical weather model toward FuXi forecasts improves large-scale skill and typhoon tracks
Pulling the large-scale flow of the CMA physical model toward a machine learning forecast gave the ML model's large-scale skill and track accuracy while keeping the physical model's rain and storm intensity.
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ForecastingRecord El Niño projected to push global temperatures to 1.91°C above pre-industrial levels
A record-breaking 2026-2027 El Niño is projected to temporarily raise global temperatures to 1.91°C, with the event contributing roughly one-fifth of the peak warming while anthropogenic warming drives most of the rise.
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ForecastingICON weather model ported to GPUs runs 5.5× faster than CPUs and is now operational
Porting the full ICON forecast chain to GPUs with OpenACC directives gave a 5.5× socket-to-socket speed-up and let MeteoSwiss run ICON operationally on GPUs.
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ForecastingAnalog method gives skillful temperature and rainfall-index forecasts from seasons to years
Picking climate-model years whose ocean temperatures match today's observed pattern gives seasonal to multi-year forecasts that are close to operational systems at far lower computing cost.